Prediction model of regional orthodontic workforce needs, using Greece as an example

Abstract

AIM: To develop a theoretical aepidemiological model for the prediction of orthodontic workforce needs, based on regional orthodontic treatment need. METHODS: Data were collected for the number of children between the ages of 8-11 years attending primary schools in Greece, within each regional division. Treatment need of the children was estimated using the Index of Orthodontic Treatment Need (IOTN). Demographics of practicing orthodontists in Greece were also collected. Based on the distribution of orthodontists and the number of children per region who would potentially receive orthodontic treatment (IOTN 3-5), the presence and distribution of orthodontic manpower was evaluated. CONCLUSION: Based on the present theoretical model, Greece has an adequate overall orthodontic workforce for coverage of the population needs, but with large regional variations indicating that some regions have a surplus while others a shortage of orthodontists. The present model seems suitable for the calculation of regional orthodontic workforce coverage of a population.